Saturday, December 19, 2009

Position In The 1st Test







Backed Saffers at 3 when England came out to bat. Did well there to knock over Strauss before close, thats so important. Delighted with that. Still think Saffers are too high currently at 2.4 (barring weather of course but I cant control that). Do I trust England to bat out 90 overs for a draw? No. Big fat no actually. If they do, good luck to them and I'll say well done.

The morning session has brought wickets every day here, Saffer players commented that the ball does a bit in the mornings before becoming a bit easier in the afternoon, so happy to run this position in the morning. I could lower losses to €100 awe-red from €150 at the start of the day, but happy to be on Saffers here.

If you look at the right of the screen shot you'll see how much money I've had in the market at different times.. never had over €300 so thats plenty of bets. Probably far too much actually when you think about it. No wonder I've a poor enough book. Chopping and changing doesnt work.

Anyway, happy to be on Saffers win, lose or draw. However will look to control things depending on how the morning pans out. Need wickets in the morning. Thats key. Better set the alarm for 8 bells, never seen what 8-00 looks like on a Sunday morning!

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UPDATE: After this mornings events, two wickets down and a flip flop, lowered red, switched onto the draw. Only small though to be +€20 draw, -€130 Saffers. Lots of scope to change too if need be, England arent going for the runs so it'll either be draw or Saffers win.

Ball is getting old now and easier to play, pitch looks OK for a 5th day wicket, still hard but you know you expect that. All I need is the England players not to give their wicket away.. easier said than done from memory.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UPDATE: Into afternoon session.. England only three down, one of them is Anderson. KP seems to be looking in good touch, just had a cheeky tenner on England at 100 and over, hopefully he can push the price down a tad maybe. Also, if they dont lose a wicket in this session and are left to get say 170 in the last session only three down with KP there.. who knows. Highly unlikely though, but scope for market movement.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Getting a little excited over these runs coming here. Ball is old now. Need another 240 runs to get, playing with fire because I need them not to lose a wicket. Lose a wicket its kaput probably, but gone €30 quid red the draw for a massive green England. Draw still most likely result but worth 30 quid with KP there, if still there after tea, he might just fancy getting these..

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UPDATE: Right, dream session, no wickets, 92 runs. England need another 195 from 36 overs. Er, thats not done often and will be hard. Not impossible however. I tend to get a bit jiggy in these situations and let bets run. Should probably green up for a small few quid, but I've "only" got €30 red under the draw and then I'm €2,000 green England.. I wanna let it run, fook it! Although it depends how they come out next session, if they have a dart at the total, the market will be all over the shop with panic, then again England might be happy with the draw and bat as such. The RRR is 5.4, if this were a ODI I'd be backing England the way the pitch has died. We'll see what happens anyway, would love to know what England are thinking right now.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UPDATE: Head in hands man for KP. What the fook was he doing running down when Trott shouted no..!

Had €300 red on Saffers all afternoon, have had to get rid of that, if Colly goes soon, you never know. This'll probably be my final book..







--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

England are collapsing and the Betfair market is down.. carnage! 10 overs left, 4 wickets left. I honestly hope for the sake of things it finishes a draw. Betfair = pants. Its a joke like, the amount of money they make for this to happen. What was the upgrade that goosed the site this week.. adding 150 arcade games.. FFS!

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

England dont do easy! Jaysus, that was close. Fantastic finish. They really do make life hard for themselves though.. once again Colly saves them. Book finished as per the last screen shot, was calling the collapse the whole way but didnt have the balls to trade a market like it. Think 1.06 the draw was still there when Betfair came back online, went out to near 1.8ish before finishing a draw. Cricket is amazing sometimes, great game!

4 comments:

  1. Good Luck. I'll be following with interest. A couple of quick wickets would be nice for your book. Feel England are letting Harris bowl to them on his terms, they need to take back some initiative if they are to have a chance of saving this.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Not sure it so much about what is going on in the Dressing room as it is about what is going on in KP's head. What a position for him to be in! If he goes the dream is over I reckon. Nice trading though and Good Luck!

    ReplyDelete
  3. Yep definitely all on him thats for sure, plenty of scope for panic here.

    Saffers can go on the defence if England look like getting there though so not 100% sure of the result.

    KP will want to do it though!

    ReplyDelete
  4. Dream in over!

    Head in hands man for KP!

    Bailing.

    ReplyDelete