tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6807732054704148496.post7856461763062688881..comments2023-10-04T12:18:25.155+01:00Comments on Stephen Maher: Football Bank Down The SwaneeStephen Maherhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02270118313544476198noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6807732054704148496.post-51668909553077389312009-09-24T10:52:11.192+01:002009-09-24T10:52:11.192+01:00Yeah I agree with that, but if you were going by t...Yeah I agree with that, but if you were going by the actual chance, I'd be of the view that the market is 'nearly' always perfect before the start of an event. So, the odds would then represent the actual chance. Especially on Betfair before a horse race, the market is perfect, theres too much money travelling through it to be 'wrong.'<br /><br />Sea The Stars of course wouldnt be 1000/1 tomorrow, but if he won 3 times out of the 1000 times they ran the race, losing all the other times would definitely have a mental impact on your betting. No likes losing. And I reckon that would lead on to doing other silly things and the likes.Stephen Maherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02270118313544476198noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6807732054704148496.post-88724914367447415462009-09-24T07:32:12.203+01:002009-09-24T07:32:12.203+01:00A good read and an interesting discussion on value...A good read and an interesting discussion on value. Another factor is the actual chance of winning against the odds. In your Kauto v See The Stars example of course See The Stars would probably loose but if you ran the race 999 times I reckon he'd win several times so I'd definitely play at the odds and hope for the best.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14410705858980358168noreply@blogger.com