Fook it anyway, why do England have to be chasing, nightmare from a punting point of view. As many people will already know, I dont bet while the first innings is on, there hasnt even been 30 overs yet and Saffers are in the 1.0x's. Bugger. England bowling = woeful.
Been looking forward to this game all week! Unless something crazy happens, I'm not betting, sure nothing to bet on now its basically GSM, Newlands is an awful place to chase under lights, and given that Saffers are gonna knock up over 300 (looking that way anyway), trusting England to get a bounce out trade? No, not really, not for me.
Sport is funny ole game and anything could happen, I'd rather not bet on miracles happening though. Will finish the assignment now anyway, this is gods way of getting me to work, I sincerely apologise for any losses incurred from him doing this to me.
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UPDATE at 4-25 PM. Saffers post 354, joint highest total here, England go into the record books alongside the mighty Kenya. Thats how bad England have bowled, woeful, shocking, terrible, all the words you can use. Saffers 1.07 to back, 1.08 lay, still no bet for me. But still of interest to watch you know, Englands batters have been good of late, playing with freedom seems to be working, game is basically over here so if the coach says go out there and whack it they could make a game of it. Someone needs to score 100+, someone else needs around 50ish off 30ish balls and they need to keep up with the rate from the start - something England arent that great at.
As I said no bet now, but if they get rolling could dip in and out for a trade, its a fair bit like catching a falling knife here though. Someone said the highest chase here under lights is around 225? Only another 120 odd runs to add to it then.. gulp! Having said that, backing 1.07 and watching someone come out and hit a few 6s, you start to panic, I've never been one for worrying but that type of thing does make me panic, youve got big liability for little gain and the market can move quickly away from you.
Need Trott to play really well, Colly and Morgan. Rest bar Pietersen maybe if hes in the mood are of no help here. Strauss will score steady as usual but you know, hes not gonna keep up with the rate for the whole innings. Need Wright to be the one scoring the 50ish off 30ish too.
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UPDATE at 5-00 PM. Involved now for a trade, started well, rate dropped, Wright opening, pitch looks good, ball doing little. Like it.
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Wright gone for 24 off 19, job done got them a good start, need to replace him at the end of the innings but hopefully I'll be out by then. Holding position for now with Trott coming in. Need to keep up with the rate though, above all else.
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UPDATE at 5-30 PM. Strauss, Wright and Trott all gone, two wickets edged. Bugger. Talk about catching a falling knife. 58-3. Welcome to English cricket what!
Holding position, still have 3 out of my 4 batsmen to go, KP, Colly and Morgan, no point backing at 1.02. Monumental effort needed. Trouble here is they let the rate to up..
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UPDATE at 6-30 PM. KP gone when I was just about thinking this was fully possible, market was 1.08 (thought that was low at the time), massive wicket, massive blow. Markets reacted down to 1.02, Morgan in now and hes pretty much the last hope. Still got original position.
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Morgan didnt hang around long. GSM. Unless something amazing happens. Anyway, I'm out.
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England need 165 off 110 as I type, thats do-able, with the powerplay. No money on it for the moment but massive chance of a market bounce here, wait and see how it goes. Need one or two more overs with the rate before getting re-involved, this time for a bigger stake..
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Key moments here. Chance of market panic, but also do something wrong and its all kaput. Worth 20 quid. Take the powerplay, give it a whack, and see what happens.
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I hate Matt Prior, what a tosser. 16 off 22 is SO annoying, while Colly hit an 18 run over at the other end, that tosser balloons one up in air when he decides hes had enough of blocking. Dont mind getting out to a whack. Market went to 1.05/1.06 before he did got out, could of been all green without him being a tosser!
Tis game over and a loss now. Didnt even get one trade, HA!
Interesting insight with the update thinking stephen
ReplyDeletewould you always plan an innings by how you think each player will score?
Yeah, sort of, for example with Australia you can nearly count on Ponting and Clarke for a good score. And Johnsen to finish.
ReplyDeleteCant really plan with England, thats why I dont like them!
Interesting their opening with Wright though, he'll have to take advantage of the powerplay to prove them right.
Probably a reason not to back low odds either, hes been told to come out swinging.