Saturday, March 28, 2009

Navan Saturday Preview

Nice card in Navan today, was hoping to go but cant make it there and back in time to go to the Ireland game tonight, hopefully its a good match. Having awful trouble getting a bet on this morning, boylesports annoying me the most and have given up even trying with them now. Tried to open a Stan James account but wont let me deposit funds with a laser card and Coral, well I dont even know whats happening there. Its very annoying as their the ones going best prices about the horses I want to back but cant get a bet on! Anyway, been thinking about doing previews for the Irish meetings and just putting up a few horses I think will run well each weekend or during the week when theres a good card on. Couple of horses I like the look of today...

Pistol Flash 2.30 Navan 1pt win at 13/8 with William Hill.
I've backed this horse the last three times shes ran and all three times shes found trouble of some sort in running, davy had a shocker on her in Leopardstown. The owners have been backing her off the board every run too, they must be getting annoyed at this stage and today this is probably her best chance of winning to date. The main danger is Earth Mother for Ruby Walsh, she keeps on finishing second and it seems like she'd finish second to anything but should Pistol Flash run no race it'll probably be left to Ruby to get Earth Mother home. Shes been finding very little when asked but the trainer said the better ground might help her today. That said I think Pistol Flash will edge this one.

Fosters Cross 3.05 Navan 1pt win at 6/4 with Paddy Power.
Cant believe the price of this fella today, and hes drifting too, hope everything is OK. If you look through his form hes run with some brilliant horses and finished placed behind two Cheltenham winners (Mikael D'Haguenet and Dunguib) and finished 6th behind Go Native. Unless Deise Dan is very good I can see Fosters Cross winning this easily.

Glenfinn Captain 4.15 Navan 1pt win at 4/6 with William Hill.
AP McCoy comes over to take the ride which is a very good sign, and he should be leaving with a winner really. Missed out on Cheltenham to run in races like this and looking at the betting it seems he only has Watson Lake to beat. But Watson has Ruby on board today and loves this track, winning five times here, but has different ground to cope with today though. Plenty of people will be backing Watson lake E/W at 4/1 with 1/4 odds first two home, seems an OK bet. I think Glenfinn should win though, wouldnt be having loads on mind.

Deutschland 5.50 Navan 2pts win at 6/4 with Boylesports. (If they let you put a bet on)
Well, this is the main one of the day and the reason I've been opening new accounts to put a bet on, no luck yet though! Looks like I'll have to take around 11/8 at this stage, might get bigger nearer the off though but I'll be on my way to the Ireland match then. I think this fella has a brilliant chance of turning over Aran Concerto if he jumps well, he had a race won at Leopardstown over christmas before falling at the last. Aran Concerto without Paul Carberry today, coming back off another injury and running over two miles, theres too many question marks over him to take 7/4. I think if he manages to win today he really is something special, and its not hard to see why all the money is coming for Rubys mount. Deutschland isnt one of the main stars in the Mullins stable, far from it actually, but I think today is his day.

Overall, wont be lumping on them four horses but I think they'll all come close to winning and if I was there I'd be backing them without question. The bookie problems this morning have been annoying and leaving for the Ireland match is getting in the way of the Deutschland bet near the off. Prices are a bit short for lucky 15's etc but might have €50 or so on each of them on Betfair, I'll think about it nearer the time and see how he day is going. I'd be least confident about Pistol Flash and most confident about Deutschland, with Fosters Cross at good bet at 6/4 too, while wouldnt be putting much on Glenfinn Captain at the price but still think he should win.

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