Drama

Carling Cup final penalty shoot-out = immense! It was a mug fest but still love a bit of sporting drama, shit penalties though really, Charlie Adams was hilarious. And Liverpool actually won a cup, amazing scenes..!

Anyway, worse drama took place on Thursday in Dubai, it was mental I'm sure anyone that watched will know how quick the market was moving, I forgot to take a screen shot (FFS), but anyway Eng failed to get 35/30 which was fairly sickening, I had +€750 on them at one stage after going out to 3+ when the RRR was still under 8, they were panicking for no reason. But eventually they went down to 1.25 before making an absolute bollocks of it.. I got €200 out of it (laid that at in between 1.3 and 1.4 as insurance more than anything) and €200 would be a great result on a T20 any day except for having near €700 on Eng and watch them muck it up, but c'est la vie.

I missed the second one yesterday because we went to The Music Show at the RDS, Bell x1, Royseven, Aslan were all there that type of thing - first time seeing Aslan live, the lead singer is nuts with all the hand movements and everything, didnt have a clue what was going on.. but it was good all the same, something different sure.















Theres just the T20 left on Monday and then the tour is over.. and more worryingly for me I cant really find anything I want to trade for two weeks after. I've never been in such a situation being at home, wanting to work, and theres nothing on for such a length of time. Not sure how to cope with it to be honest. I've bought the Millennium Trilogy books (three quid each on Amazon, VALUE) really enjoyed the film version of The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo so hopefully the books are as good, I bought a golf net for the back garden (€50 on Amazon too, driving range in the back garden, VALUE) so I have to build that and knowing me it will turn out arseways but anyway. I dont plan on being on Betfair at all but will obviously check livesportontv.com every day in the hope of something. Its probably going to be the longest two weeks of my life!

There is cricket on from New Zealand and Australia but I'm really against switching to being nocturnal - especially when were so close to the 'normal' hours season, the games from Aus starting at 3AM might be an option if the market is still live getting towards 7/8AM, so hopefully that might be something. Its just about keeping discipline for two weeks and then we can feast on Cheltenham, then onto the IPL, and sure then it never ends the amount of opportunities.

In the meantime, looking forward to watching the golf tonight, hopefully Rory does the business.

19/02/2012

Well, it all happened this week.. I have to say I enjoyed the drama between Chisora, Haye and the Klitschkos last night, I know it was unsavory but I thought it was great! For some reason I'm OK with things like that happening in Boxing - if it was football or rugby I'd be thinking what a pair of twats - but they spend their lives fighting and well things like that are always going to happen now and again arent they, everyone loved Tyson and sure he was a major nutter, I think it just adds a bit of drama around the place and gets us away from the usual shite in the news. I've said this defending Amir Khan too, the problem is no one likes arrogance, but boxers are programmed to think they are better than everybody, so it just comes with the sport and thats basically it, it comes with the sport. Theyre arrogant, and everyone wants them to get knocked out but imagine how crap it'd be before a big Las Vegas fight if one of them in the pre-fight interview said "Ah yeah, I'll get beaten up and knocked out, sure I'm shite, I'm useless and a loser.." Thats not going to happen is it, no.

As for their back pockets, Chisora was relatively unknown outside the UK boxing fans before yesterday - he is known now, all his antics, he knew what he was doing sure. Haye was "retired" and needed to do something to get back in the limelight (hence even turning up to the fight) - hes major news again. I can see lots of people saying "its bad for boxing" "theyre behaving terribly" yadda yadda yadda, but they'll be the exact same ones buying the PPVs though when theres fights between the four of them involved last night, they'll talk about and they'll have an opinion on it afterwards. If I remember correctly Shane Mosley had a shouting match with Floyd Mayweather after a fight, next fight? Mosley v Mayweather. Last night was a fantastic sell for PPV if ever there was one. And anyway its Boxing, its much MUCH better when they hate each other.



Anyway, onto the cricket. Well, Monday didnt start good, I said Sunday I was feeling unwell so feeling like shite is never good for trading but I managed to go from +€290 on England back to zero, annoying to not even get €100 out of it, I laid Eng heavily after a wicket at 1.29 (which was such a big over reaction IMO) and it bounced back to 1.4ish so it wasnt too bad of a move but then another wicket at just the wrong time and it was soon 1.08.. I accept the 1.29 lay but really should have finished a bit better off than €3 after being +€290 even with things going tits up because I had so much leverage in the first place, stomach feeling crap didnt help the mood, it was just one of those when you sit there after thinking "Why am I such a gobshite.."






Wednesday was better, I went equal when I had the chance around evens the pair (rare for me!) main reason for that was the market was in 'swinging between the 1.7s' mode and even though flip flops always sound good for trading when they happen so quickly and change a few times, it only takes one bad move to ruin everything you know, so I was happy to sit out for most of that, it turned out it was more England going from 1.5 to 2.1 rather than 1.7 to 1.7 after Pak lost wickets but it was just one of those markets that was loaded with quick danger. Old me would be involved in some shape or form but new me tries not to get hung, drawn and quartered now - even though it just happened on Monday, ha!






And yesterday was relatively easy compared to the rest of the week, I said on Twitter Eng at 1.7 at the start of the chase seemed very high and it was a 1.01 train from there.. which always helps! First time in a while I traded first innings too laying Pak at odds on, they just seemed in swing at everything mode so there was always a chance of crumbling when you have quality bowling.






I had my first horse bet today too in ages at Navan today, not on Betfair though because someone had €2k up before I woke up at 3.7 when you could get 3.75 minus commission cash. Berties Dream, I think hes worth a follow, IMO the ride he got today was suicidal kicking on that far out in Navan will only end one way really, I thought the horse did fantastically well to still even have a chance going to the last. You might remember him he would the Albert Bartlett in 2010 before turning to pot but he seemed to find his old form last time out, and was even better today IMO but hopefully that race doesnt leave a mark, I felt sorry for him going that far out and trying to get up that hill, maybe he might be a Irish Grand National horse in time.. and when I say that I mean it in the sense that he'll win it at 25/1 and I wont have backed him.

12/02/2012

Well, I enjoyed the ten days or so off from Betfair, only thing is I am now dying sick..! Hopefully I'll feel better for the ODIs next week and get back into a routine again, reckon it was just something I ate so I'll keep this short - although I only had two markets for the full two weeks anyway.

Big kick in the balls to see the BPL (Bangladesh premier league) is 15 minutes behind live on English TV (Sky CH834), there are links around but trading off links is very hit and miss for me - I did try it on Friday and ended up -€40 so I think I may just pretend its not happening at all if the TV pics arent fixed. Its a shame but what can you do.

And I have a P&L from the Pak v Eng third test, although I was down the country for three out of the four days, its mostly from just messing around really, I got to watch it for the odd hour here and there. Obviously Eng were poor enough to lose from having Pak all out for 99 first go, but I think the ODIs might bring them closer together, its hard to know until first look tomorrow I wont be trusting Eng too quickly, but I dont think it'll be a complete stroll for Pak like some are suggesting.. cue 4-0 and four 1.01 trains..!

Looking forward to watching Tiger tonight, hopefully he does the business although no financial interest, I cant move from the couch anyway so what better to do than watch Tiger..

Hopefully things are back to normal next week, whether I be right or wrong on them, at least I'll have a few markets to think about.